The world is now getting used to working from home but COVID-19 does not seem to be going away very soon. The number of cases in The United States of America has gone up by approximately 500% in the last 30 days (from 163199 to 983457).
There has been a steep rise from the third week of March and continues sloping upwards to date. The growth rate has been surprisingly high; it did not take time for America to surpass the other countries. America is also conducting a high number of tests daily which is making the data available to all of us. The number of deaths also increased steadily from 2850 to 52428.
Looking at the other nations, the worst hit were Italy, Spain, Germany, China, France, Iran, United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Turkey. Italy and Spain are going through their peak.
Larger populated countries like India have also jumped ranks in the first week of March. India was in the top 40, now India is ranked 15 in the world in terms of infected people. Looking at the growth in the number of cases, India shall be in the top 10 of the world in a couple of weeks.
There is a constant spike in the graph sloping upwards without any sharp dip down. The death toll has touched over a 1000+. The total cases touched 30000+. The first case in India was apparently reported on 30th Jan 2020.
On the other hand, countries like Vietnam are slowly lifting the lockdown and claim that they have resumed business as usual.
A lot will change in the coming few weeks as the peak of COVID-19 seems to be around and at most places, the virus seems to have reached saturation in the number of cases that are Occurring.
There is a constant spike in the graph sloping upwards without any sharp dip down. The death toll has touched over a 1000+. The total cases touched 30000+. The first case in India was apparently reported on 30th Jan 2020.
On the other hand, countries like Vietnam are slowly lifting the lockdown and claim that they have resumed business as usual.
A lot will change in the coming few weeks as the peak of COVID-19 seems to be around and at most places, the virus seems to have reached saturation in the number of cases that are Occurring.
According to our analysis- May second week would be the peak for CoronaVirus and from there it will start declining. If everything goes as per plan, in the next 6 to 8 weeks we shall be able to control the spread of the virus but we doubt that it will be completely over till the vaccines come in.
There have been several claims that the vaccine is being developed and they are sure the directions are effective but we will not know until human trials on a large scale are conducted as the vaccines may have several side effects.
The New York Times recently stated- “India’s Serum Institute to Make Millions of Potential Coronavirus Vaccine Doses”. In the article, they stated that the Serum is owned by the Indian billionaire Cyrus Poonawalla and he plans to produce 400 million doses at its manufacturing plants in Pune. The actual price of the vaccine is around Rupees 1000/- or 13 USD but governments would give it to people without charge.
The Wall Street Journal in an article said- “Race for Coronavirus Vaccine Accelerates as Pfizer Says U.S. Testing to Begin Next Week” The article highlights that The US is to start testing next week.
AstraZeneca and the University of Oxford have announced a collaboration in order to develop and distribute the University’s potential recombinant adenovirus vaccine aimed at preventing COVID-19. The vaccine is called “ChAdOx1 nCoV-19” is based on an adenovirus vaccine vector and the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. It is being developed by Jenner Institute and Oxford Vaccine Group, at the University of Oxford.
Most countries are lacking the test frequency, where the number of tests done is too low. When the tests are low, it becomes difficult to actually assess the correct situation. It is most important to follow the three T’s, Trace, Test and Treat.
Until and unless the three T’s are followed in the right manner, COVID19 doesn’t seem to have any end soon.
Testing in India for that matter has been extremely low looking at the size of the population. It may be assumed that the numbers are rigged, for example, in the state of Gujarat (India), Number of tests conducted were just 3800 per day, and not more than 200-400 positive cases are reported. In the highly concentrated state of West Bengal, there were only 16000 tests in 40 days having less than 800 cases. The figures seem impossible. The only reason America is on the top of the list is that it is not refraining itself from conducting tests.
